Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door, 10th edition, 2020. should expect successively fewer annual numbers of graduates in virtually every graduating class with the class of 2037 projected to be about the same in number as the class of 2014 (3.5 million). The number of high school graduates is projected to peak at 3.9 million with the class of 2025. high school graduates will climb for the next five years (10 percent higher than was previously predicted) to a peak in 2025 before declines in the birth rate and smaller elementary school cohorts will drive a downturn, according to the tenth edition of the report, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, released in December 2020 by the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE).Īccording to the report, the country produced about 3.8 million high school graduates in the class of 2019. Nationwide, both public and private high school graduation rates have increased in recent years, and the increase is projected to continue in the near future. However, the impact of COVID-19 on graduation rates remains uncertain. At the same time, diversity is increasing: 24 states are projected to have nonwhite students comprise the majority of their graduates within 15 years. In recent years, high-school graduating classes have been larger than projected, but the forecast is for those numbers to shrink after 2025.
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